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2024-12-13 21:36:28

Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.Guangzhou Metro won the Asian Games Avenue plot in Panyu District, Guangzhou with a reserve price of 1,183.96 million yuan. According to the website of Guangzhou Public Resource Trading Center, on December 13th, Guangzhou Metro Group Co., Ltd. won the Asian Games Avenue plot BD0210116 in Panyu District, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province with a reserve price of 1,183.96 million yuan. According to the transfer documents, the plot is planned to be a second-class residential land, a primary and secondary school land and a commercial land compatible with roads and transportation facilities; The parcel area is 99,936.54 square meters, of which the leased parcel area is 85,151.63 square meters, and the calculated floor area ratio is 118,396 square meters.Singapore iron ore futures fell 2.4%, almost erasing the gains this week.


Fuli Zong took the helm for 100 days: the management, dealers and product ideas were completely adjusted. At the end of August this year, Fuli Zong took over the legal representative, chairman and general manager of Hangzhou Wahaha Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Wahaha") from his father Zong Qinghou, and took over 29.40% of the company's shares. By early December, more than three months had passed. In just 100 days, Fuli Zong, who is in charge of Wahaha, has implemented a series of controversial reform measures, including adjusting the organizational structure and almost completely replacing the core management; The employee contract and distributor contract of the core department were signed to Hongsheng Beverage Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Hongsheng Beverage"); Reconstruct the dealer system, and even select the dealers in the form of "bidding" for the first time ... On December 11 -12, I called Ye Yaqiong, director of the president's office and director of the government affairs center of Wahaha Group, and contacted Wahaha public affairs related people to send them an interview outline, but as of press time, I did not get a reply. (21 Finance)Bawang Chaji hired a new CFO from McDonald's. It is reported that Huang Hongfei, the former CFO of McDonald's China, left his post on October 14, 2024, and after a short break, he joined Bawang Chaji. According to informed sources, this move means that the listing process of Bawang Tea Ji is expected to accelerate.The cryptocurrency market fluctuated violently again, exceeding 110,000 people. In the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency headed by Bitcoin jumped up and down. After Trump said "something great will be done in the cryptocurrency field", the price of Bitcoin once rose to about $102,500, and then profit-making funds poured out. Bitcoin plunged over $3,000, and the lowest dropped to around $99,200. Other smaller cryptocurrency varieties followed suit. Coinglass data shows that within 24 hours, the number of people in the cryptocurrency market has exceeded 110,000. At present, there are great differences in the market on cryptocurrency. Some optimists predict that Bitcoin may reach $150,000 in mid-2025. At the NEXT meeting in Reuters this week, American bankers expressed their caution about cryptocurrencies. BlackRock, a world-renowned asset management company, suggested in a report on Thursday that interested investors could consider allocating 2% of their portfolio to Bitcoin. However, the report also warned: "Investors should also be alert to the risks of Bitcoin, which may not be widely adopted in the end, and it is still very unstable and vulnerable to sharp selling." In addition, Turkish regulators said they would block access to dozens of cryptocurrency exchanges. (Broker China)


The turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1.5 trillion yuan, 67.5 billion yuan more than the previous day. Up to now, the turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1.5 trillion yuan, 67.5 billion yuan more than the previous day. Among them, the turnover of Shanghai Stock Exchange was 600.1 billion yuan, that of Shenzhen Stock Exchange was 885.3 billion yuan, and that of Beizheng 50 was 15.5 billion yuan.The winning bid rate of China's 2-year treasury bonds was 1.06%, which was 31 basis points lower than last month. The Ministry of Finance of China issued treasury bonds today, and the weighted average winning bid rate of 2-year varieties was 1.06%. The data shows that the bid-winning interest rate is about 31 basis points lower than that when the national debt of the same term was issued in November, the lowest since Bloomberg recorded it in 2004.Fuli Zong took the helm for 100 days: the management, dealers and product ideas were completely adjusted. At the end of August this year, Fuli Zong took over the legal representative, chairman and general manager of Hangzhou Wahaha Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Wahaha") from his father Zong Qinghou, and took over 29.40% of the company's shares. By early December, more than three months had passed. In just 100 days, Fuli Zong, who is in charge of Wahaha, has implemented a series of controversial reform measures, including adjusting the organizational structure and almost completely replacing the core management; The employee contract and distributor contract of the core department were signed to Hongsheng Beverage Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Hongsheng Beverage"); Reconstruct the dealer system, and even select the dealers in the form of "bidding" for the first time ... On December 11 -12, I called Ye Yaqiong, director of the president's office and director of the government affairs center of Wahaha Group, and contacted Wahaha public affairs related people to send them an interview outline, but as of press time, I did not get a reply. (21 Finance)

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